Monday 15 August 2011

The Premiership 2011/12

The Premiership 2011/12

So the Premiership has now kicked off and all teams apart from Spurs and Everton have no shown what they are likely to be made of this coming season.  What this also means is we can now make bets on certain outcomes too.  Why now and not Saturday morning?  Simple really - the manager has shown how his teams are going to play and there is form to play around with.  Yes Man City did play Swansea 2nite but its more the way they played.  Yes Arsenal were down to 10 men for some of the game and Cesc Fabregas has just left but did they want to beat Newcastle?  Was the hunger there?  No.  

The League
So, DO NOT BET ON ARSENAL this season.  You never know what you are going to get.  However, Manchester City are definatley going to be a force and at 7-2 to win the league, this is definatley a bet worth going for.  Their manchester counterparts are really the only competition as Chelsea and Liverpool simply ran out of ideas and strategy to win at the weekend and Arsenal, well the less said the better really.  A bet on Utd however is too small to bother so if you dont fancy City, then stay out of this market.

Top Goalscorer
Sergio Aguero also looked like a man possessed today - 4.8-1 to be top premier league goalscorer is another good bet.  Will he win?  Maybe.  Will he be top 3?  Yes, without a doubt.  Rooney will also be up there too and at 7.2-1 he will worth a punt.  However, this is a tricky  market, and until Carlos Tevez' future is decided and Chelsea's front line start scoring i.e Torres Drogba Anelka and Sturridge (and I guess Kalou too) it will be tough to choose a clear third.  However, my money is on Sergio Aguero with Rooney a close second and Torres a distant third.
Betting a £100 on all three will bag you the following;

£280 profit on Aguero
£520 profit on Rooney
£750 profit on Torres

though I'd rather double the bet on Aguero to win £710, increase Rooney's stake to £150 earning £780 and sticking the rounded £100 on Torres to win £600.  

The risks.  Drogba 25-1, Bent 14.5 - 1, RVP 9.5-1 and other hopefuls Suarez 11-1 Carroll 22-1 Hernandez 10-1 and Dzeko 23-1.  One of these, Suarez especially could really perform, but can they score more than the mighty Mancunians star strikers?  I think not.

Aguero and Rooney are just a different class and playing in teams that are looking to score countless goals this season, the buck is likely to stop at one of these fine young stars.

If you are still in any doubt, wait.  Maybe until the next round of games and see who scores for Chelsea against West Brom, how Man Utd and Liverpool shape up to play Tottenham and Arsenal respectively and if Aguero continues at the Reebok.  Though if Aguero does score again, the odds will fall quicker than Arsene Wenger's piggy bank.